]*>","")" /> Forecasting and Early Warning Mechanisms of Income Gap between Urban and Rural Residents in Xinjiang
Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences

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Forecasting and Early Warning Mechanisms of Income Gap between Urban and Rural Residents in Xinjiang

LI Jiang-nan;CHEN Tong   

  • Received:2014-02-25 Revised:2014-02-25 Online:2014-02-25 Published:2014-02-25

新疆城乡居民收入差距预测与预警机制的设立

李江南;陈彤   

  1. 昌吉学院经济管理系,新疆昌吉,831100;新疆农业科学院,乌鲁木齐,830091





摘要： [目的]研究通过预测新疆城乡居民收入差距,设立城乡收入差距预警机制,以促进新疆经济、社会均衡发展.[方法]利用“灰色系统”,用时间序列观测值建立灰色模型GM(1,1)对新疆城乡居民收入进行预测.[结果]从新疆城乡居民收入差距的时间序列看,新疆城乡居民收入相对差距呈下降趋势,而收入绝对差距却仍在不断增长.[结论]通过多元回归的方法对城乡收入差距的预警值进行计算,设立了城乡差距的预警机制.