]*>","")" /> Investigation on Occurrence of Winter Wheat Rust and Its Epidemic Predicitve Model in Ili River Valley, Xinjiang
Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences

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Investigation on Occurrence of Winter Wheat Rust and Its Epidemic Predicitve Model in Ili River Valley, Xinjiang

  • Received:2007-06-25 Revised:2007-06-25 Online:2007-06-25 Published:2007-06-25

伊犁河谷冬小麦锈病发生与流行预测模型的研究

何海明;郭文超;谢震宇   

  1. 伊犁州农业技术推广总站,新疆伊??835000;新疆农科院植保所,乌鲁木齐,830091





摘要： 通过对伊犁河谷区域1994～2004年气象数据进行的统计分析,遴选出影响伊犁河谷冬小麦锈病发生与流行的主导气象因子,利用逐步回归分析法,组建冬小麦锈病预测模型,可在伊犁河谷冬小麦锈病发生前的1～1.5月内做出预测,预测和实际拟合程度较高(相关系数为0.976 6).